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The Breakout Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +55.54$

Invest 318.56$

Average return 374.10$

ROI +17.4%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 828.10 $, profit at most −454.00 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −319 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

20.68 $

at 20.68

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

297.88 $

at 33.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 318.56 $ +55.54 (+17.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.313695

761.11 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.065217

144.02 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081521

220.01 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

238.14 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +30.80 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +53.13 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 25 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2137401 · The Revolution Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 58.13$ · invest 301.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −296 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2132868 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 58.04$ · invest 304.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −296 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166785 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2132023 · The Huntsman Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 57.87$ · invest 346.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −347 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164835 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2135916 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 57.68$ · invest 304.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −302 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2128023 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 57.37$ · invest 308.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −303 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170731 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2123305 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 57.31$ · invest 304.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −297 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2138936 · The Spectrum Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 56.85$ · invest 319.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −320 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162251 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2133912 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 56.77$ · invest 330.24$
profit on prices without salesat least −328 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174643 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2126340 · The Fracture Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 56.74$ · invest 303.75$
profit on prices without salesat least −297 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169354 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2128701 · The Gamma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 56.63$ · invest 310.19$
profit on prices without salesat least −305 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165292 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2130029 · The Glove Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 56.60$ · invest 309.38$
profit on prices without salesat least −304 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167808 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2138221 · The Shadow Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 56.33$ · invest 316.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −317 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173076 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2138607 · The Snakebite Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 56.31$ · invest 303.19$
profit on prices without salesat least −298 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173076 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2119684 · The Clutch Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 56.09$ · invest 301.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −298 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165292 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2117718 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 55.83$ · invest 310.72$
profit on prices without salesat least −298 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169924 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2122166 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 55.68$ · invest 304.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −302 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2125496 · The Fever Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 55.54$ · invest 304.39$
profit on prices without salesat least −299 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2116669 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 54.90$ · invest 311.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −299 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2116670 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 54.56$ · invest 313.13$
profit on prices without salesat least −300 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163956 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2121130 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 54.52$ · invest 305.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −303 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170731 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2119685 · The Clutch Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 54.47$ · invest 304.50$
profit on prices without salesat least −300 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171519 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2138773 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 54.31$ · invest 310.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −300 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2113936 · The Breakout Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 53.68$ · invest 318.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −319 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.163043; StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2124591 · The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 53.08$ · invest 307.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −301 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.163043
Craft 2139379 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 52.85$ · invest 317.64$
profit on prices without salesat least −318 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176892 instead of 0.163043

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build