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The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +72.04$

Invest 95.88$

Average return 167.92$

ROI +75.1%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 246.44 $, profit at most −78.52 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

12.14 $

at 12.14

Steam

×9

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

83.73 $

at 9.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 95.88 $ +72.04 (+75.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

48.58 $

at 12.14

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

9.20 $

at 4.60

Steam

×4

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

37.21 $

at 9.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94.99 $ +33.70 (+35.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

60.72 $

at 12.14

Steam

×3

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

13.80 $

at 4.60

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

18.61 $

at 9.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93.12 $ +22.48 (+24.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

6.82 $

at 6.82

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

24.29 $

at 12.14

Steam

×7

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

65.12 $

at 9.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 96.23 $ +45.53 (+47.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

240.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

176.29 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095499

60.34 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

55.16 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Gamma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Fracture Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +55.44 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +68.38 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2124171 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 75.35$ · invest 100.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2122248 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 75.18$ · invest 100.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2123728 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 74.52$ · invest 99.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2113314 · The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 74.25$ · invest 109.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −8 $ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2124574 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 74.05$ · invest 113.42$
profit on prices without salesat least −19 $ rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2124481 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 72.85$ · invest 103.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2124414 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 71.94$ · invest 99.91$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077019 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2123825 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 71.47$ · invest 110.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −5 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2123797 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 70.81$ · invest 104.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2124449 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 70.43$ · invest 110.76$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2117902 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 69.59$ · invest 105.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build