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The Danger Zone Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +147.31₽

Invest 436.71₽

Average return 584.02₽

ROI +33.7%

Chance of profit 32%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 039.99₽ · profit at most −455.97₽ (−43.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 26.97 → 58.26 ₽

SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 222.90 → 559.48 ₽

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 186.84 → 422.26 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

MP9 | Modest Threat

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

26.97 ₽

at 26.97

Steam

×6

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

222.90 ₽

at 37.15

Steam

×3

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

186.84 ₽

at 62.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 436.71 ₽ +147.31 (+33.7%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

103.77 ₽

at 34.59

Steam

×6

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

222.90 ₽

at 37.15

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

62.28 ₽

at 62.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 388.95 ₽ +120.99 (+31.1%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

SG 553 | Danger Close

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

28.32 ₽

at 28.32

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

34.59 ₽

at 34.59

Steam

×6

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

222.90 ₽

at 37.15

Steam

×2

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

124.56 ₽

at 62.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 410.37 ₽ +136.61 (+33.3%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

SG 553 | Danger Close

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

28.32 ₽

at 28.32

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

172.95 ₽

at 34.59

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

15.52 ₽

at 15.52

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

111.45 ₽

at 37.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 328.24 ₽ +70.57 (+21.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −40 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

SG 553 | Danger Close

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

84.96 ₽

at 28.32

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

172.95 ₽

at 34.59

Steam

×2

P250 | Red Tide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

36.28 ₽

at 18.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 294.19 ₽ +30.54 (+10.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 62%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

1 169.94 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

float up to 0.052111

484.27 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

488.47 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.050555

283.27 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

184.84 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

505.94 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.031111

181.69 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

285.46 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +73.07 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +116.19 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2135963 · The Prisma Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 161.35₽ · invest 448.55₽
rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2111687 · The Bank Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 152.14₽ · invest 435.74₽
CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077166 instead of 0.074237; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006270 instead of 0.003707
Craft 2124214 · The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 147.87₽ · invest 470.27₽
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075273 instead of 0.074237; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004614 instead of 0.003707
Craft 2128384 · The Gamma Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 146.54₽ · invest 455.64₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075203 instead of 0.074237; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004552 instead of 0.003707
Craft 2119313 · The Clutch Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 146.04₽ · invest 430.24₽
MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074756 instead of 0.074237; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004161 instead of 0.003707

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Radiant Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build