to all crafts

The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +26.80$

Invest 142.90$

Average return 169.70$

ROI +18.8%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 351.18 $, profit at most −181.48 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

12.14 $

at 12.14

Steam

×2

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

24.92 $

at 12.46

Steam

×7

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

105.84 $

at 15.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 142.90 $ +26.80 (+18.8%)

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

36.43 $

at 12.14

Steam

×5

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

62.30 $

at 12.46

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

30.24 $

at 15.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 128.97 $ +14.18 (+11.0%)

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

24.29 $

at 12.14

Steam

×4

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

49.84 $

at 12.46

Steam

×4

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

60.48 $

at 15.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 134.60 $ +21.82 (+16.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AK-47 | The Empress

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

293.16 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

127.69 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095499

60.34 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

55.16 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Falchion Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8.53 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20.80 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2113847 · The Breakout Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 29.01$ · invest 156.47$
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075060 instead of 0.075452; R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075060 instead of 0.075452
Craft 2131934 · The Huntsman Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 28.66$ · invest 168.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New)
Craft 2138681 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 27.61$ · invest 150.13$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075510 instead of 0.075452; R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075510 instead of 0.075452

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build