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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +106.29₴

Invest 295.90₴

Average return 402.19₴

ROI +35.9%

Chance of profit 56%

With float: invest at least 749.40 ₴, profit at most −347.21 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

10.58 ₴

at 10.58

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

28.93 ₴

at 28.93

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

256.39 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 295.90 ₴ +106.29 (+35.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −37 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

21.16 ₴

at 10.58

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

110.40 ₴

at 36.80

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

160.25 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 291.80 ₴ +22.40 (+7.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

21.16 ₴

at 10.58

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

73.60 ₴

at 36.80

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

192.29 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 287.05 ₴ +49.14 (+17.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

21.16 ₴

at 10.58

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

36.80 ₴

at 36.80

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

224.34 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 282.30 ₴ +75.89 (+26.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 54%
Losing outcome 44%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

276.46 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

837.69 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.010196

407.96 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

229.17 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

687.78 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

265.00 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

189.18 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

353.07 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

179.36 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

187.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +39.80 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +88.68 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2124487 · The Falchion Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 109.24₴ · invest 307.89₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2124291 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 106.70₴ · invest 306.24₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2124393 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 105.57₴ · invest 301.13₴
profit on prices without salesat least −5 ₴ rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2123860 · The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 105.51₴ · invest 296.14₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2123767 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 101.55₴ · invest 305.57₴
profit on prices without salesat least −15 ₴ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2115859 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 99.54₴ · invest 299.67₴
profit on prices without salesat least −15 ₴ rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077308 instead of 0.074673; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.006395 instead of 0.004088
Craft 2123706 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 98.74₴ · invest 293.19₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2123993 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 98.57₴ · invest 292.36₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 ₴ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2123732 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 98.32₴ · invest 293.84₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build