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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +5.84$

Invest 44.90$

Average return 50.73$

ROI +13.0%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 106.91 $, profit at most −56.17 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×6

P90 | Deathgaze

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4865

23.57 $

at 3.93

Steam

×3

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

16.84 $

at 5.61

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

4.49 $

at 4.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.90 $ +5.84 (+13.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×6

P90 | Deathgaze

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4865

23.57 $

at 3.93

Steam

×2

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

11.22 $

at 5.61

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

4.49 $

at 4.49

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

5.18 $

at 5.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.46 $ +5.48 (+12.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 10%

in profit

best

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

62.51 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

55.99 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

AWP | Printstream

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

49.58 $ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

50.69 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.75 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.96 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2121983 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 5.84$ · invest 43.76$
MP9 | Food Chain (Well-Worn) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Well-Worn)
Craft 2121741 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 5.66$ · invest 46.33$
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Well-Worn) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Well-Worn)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build