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The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +11.96$

Invest 18.83$

Average return 30.79$

ROI +63.5%

Chance of profit 67%

With float: invest at least 46.82 $, profit at most −16.04 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

14.30 $

at 1.79

Steam

×1

P90 | Randy Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.38 $

at 1.38

Steam

×1

P90 | Randy Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

3.15 $

at 3.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.83 $ +11.96 (+63.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 40%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62.93 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23.83 $ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21.51 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | The Outsiders

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

54.85 $ 6.67%

Steam

about break-even

worst

P250 | Epicenter

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

20.77 $ 6.67%

Steam

about break-even

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.36 $ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7.21 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.91 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2115800 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 11.28$ · invest 17.56$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear), P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New); Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074242 instead of 0.074444
Craft 2122002 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 10.52$ · invest 19.79$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear), P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New); Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075011 instead of 0.074444

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build