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The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +34.35$

Invest 68.65$

Average return 103.00$

ROI +50.0%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 167.60 $, profit at most −64.60 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

44.90 $

at 5.61

Steam

×1

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

11.20 $

at 11.20

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

12.56 $

at 12.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68.65 $ +34.35 (+50.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

33.67 $

at 5.61

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

22.04 $

at 11.02

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

25.12 $

at 12.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 80.83 $ +14.73 (+18.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

28.06 $

at 5.61

Steam

×2

P250 | Cartel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

19.62 $

at 9.81

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

37.68 $

at 12.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 85.36 $ +7.72 (+9.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

39.28 $

at 5.61

Steam

×1

P250 | Cartel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

9.81 $

at 9.81

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

25.12 $

at 12.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 74.21 $ +23.83 (+32.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

best

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

123.13 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

119.48 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.147499

101.59 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

83.95 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +23.22 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +31.41 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2121286 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 38.16$ · invest 62.47$
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2121981 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 37.96$ · invest 61.69$
XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167427 instead of 0.168399; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076061 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2114130 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 37.87$ · invest 61.96$
rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161965 instead of 0.168399; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074162 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2121210 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 37.67$ · invest 64.14$
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2122014 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 36.91$ · invest 68.55$
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164697 instead of 0.168399; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075112 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2116826 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 36.67$ · invest 69.76$
P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168442 instead of 0.168399; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076414 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2121739 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 36.66$ · invest 64.29$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2121387 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 36.55$ · invest 70.49$
rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2121709 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 35.44$ · invest 68.97$
rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163885 instead of 0.168399; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074829 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2121256 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 34.97$ · invest 65.40$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2121524 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 34.59$ · invest 66.07$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164697 instead of 0.168399; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075112 instead of 0.076399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build