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The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 415.83₸

Invest 23 554.79₸

Average return 24 970.62₸

ROI +6.0%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 55 385.89 ₸, profit at most −30 415.27 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×6

P90 | Deathgaze

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5003

10 695.69 ₸

at 1 782.62

Steam

×3

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1710

7 640.28 ₸

at 2 546.76

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1710

5 218.81 ₸

at 5 218.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23 554.79 ₸ +1 415.83 (+6.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 5%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

28 369.30 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

25 409.78 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

75 100.55 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

float up to 0.243199

15 211.62 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 643.80 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +989.07 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2122070 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 430.46₸ · invest 27 957.29₸
pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | AXIA (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested); P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.505491 instead of 0.500304; P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173205 instead of 0.171036
Craft 2122216 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1 343.87₸ · invest 23 413.84₸
rare inputs

AUG | Bengal Tiger (Well-Worn) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested); P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479295 instead of 0.500304; P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162250 instead of 0.171036

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build