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The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4 896.61₸

Invest 3 889.90₸

Average return 8 786.50₸

ROI +125.9%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest at least 9 481.11 ₸, profit at most −694.61 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

1 941.26 ₸

at 323.54

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

1 948.64 ₸

at 487.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 889.90 ₸ +4 896.61 (+125.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 790.93 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 456.71 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

4 118.51 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 313.50 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

507.90 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 911.69 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Stinger

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

3 970.82 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 126.21 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Gila

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

3 727.14 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

18 288.46 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3 180.38 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 936.29 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2127409 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 5 537.07₸ · invest 4 319.01₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129460 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 5 238.15₸ · invest 4 422.28₸
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129599 · The Glove Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 5 156.90₸ · invest 3 639.42₸
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129869 · The Glove Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 5 127.33₸ · invest 3 271.89₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2118054 · The Chroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 5 059.64₸ · invest 4 343.06₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2110736 · The Ascent Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 5 024.48₸ · invest 4 336.97₸
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2117076 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 5 007.32₸ · invest 3 490.93₸
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163312 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129771 · The Glove Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 5 007.24₸ · invest 3 769.63₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129689 · The Glove Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 4 934.45₸ · invest 3 946.02₸
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2128104 · The Gamma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 853.93₸ · invest 3 420.70₸
rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129813 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4 791.24₸ · invest 4 672.75₸
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129451 · The Glove Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 4 689.59₸ · invest 4 261.60₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2126484 · The Gallery Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 629.06₸ · invest 3 795.61₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165153 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129640 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 4 621.56₸ · invest 3 326.09₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2106641 · The Achroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 579.04₸ · invest 4 016.26₸
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164685 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129619 · The Glove Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 4 543.76₸ · invest 4 014.65₸
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129924 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 4 542.15₸ · invest 3 357.84₸
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2114375 · The CS20 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 541.96₸ · invest 3 856.22₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164398 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2113446 · The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 513.51₸ · invest 3 430.32₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2129951 · The Glove Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 4 322.05₸ · invest 4 708.67₸
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2120342 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 202.36₸ · invest 3 490.13₸
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested), MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162287 instead of 0.165131

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build