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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 253.92₸

Invest 3 220.03₸

Average return 4 473.95₸

ROI +38.9%

Chance of profit 76%

With float: invest at least 7 659.83 ₸, profit at most −3 185.87 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

323.54 ₸

at 323.54

Steam

×6

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

1 659.67 ₸

at 276.61

Steam

×3

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

1 236.82 ₸

at 412.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 220.03 ₸ +1 253.92 (+38.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 76%
Losing outcome 24%

at a loss

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

3 503.91 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 707.26 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

3 908.86 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

5 345.16 ₸ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 097.57 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 790.92 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 456.68 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

4 118.50 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 313.49 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

507.90 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +428.90 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 051.18 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2131133 · The Horizon Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 1 297.31₸ · invest 3 178.28₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076421 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.005619 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2116088 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 292.44₸ · invest 3 041.34₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074982 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.004359 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2131395 · The Horizon Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 1 292.38₸ · invest 3 117.03₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076421 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.005619 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2118083 · The Chroma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 281.10₸ · invest 3 295.56₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076421 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.005619 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2117120 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 272.38₸ · invest 3 153.54₸
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076449 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.005643 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2128149 · The Gamma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 259.38₸ · invest 3 129.27₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074838 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.004234 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2112071 · The Boreal Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 253.93₸ · invest 3 064.75₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076544 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.005726 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2131150 · The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 1 253.76₸ · invest 3 182.19₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074683 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.004098 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2131026 · The Horizon Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 1 219.33₸ · invest 3 030.81₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076633 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.005804 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2125710 · The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 215.26₸ · invest 3 047.38₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2122548 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 211.75₸ · invest 3 021.14₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.005697 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2120393 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 210.25₸ · invest 3 081.38₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.004504 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2131173 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 1 208.09₸ · invest 3 126.06₸
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076544 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.005726 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2131443 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 1 194.85₸ · invest 3 131.35₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076421 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.005619 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2114412 · The CS20 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 194.82₸ · invest 3 214.42₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076564 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.005744 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2131418 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 1 191.44₸ · invest 3 083.09₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076421 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.005619 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2113478 · The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 190.08₸ · invest 3 143.43₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076246 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.005465 instead of 0.005805
Craft 2131242 · The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 1 176.80₸ · invest 3 070.74₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2119020 · The Clutch Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 175.90₸ · invest 3 074.32₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076488 instead of 0.076635; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.005677 instead of 0.005805

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build