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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +76.03$

Invest 105.13$

Average return 181.16$

ROI +72.3%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 266.44 $, profit at most −85.28 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

83.73 $

at 9.30

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

21.40 $

at 21.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 105.13 $ +76.03 (+72.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

9.30 $

at 9.30

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

63.54 $

at 10.59

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

64.20 $

at 21.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 137.05 $ +45.43 (+33.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

55.82 $

at 9.30

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

19.95 $

at 9.98

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

42.80 $

at 21.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118.58 $ +63.08 (+53.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

37.21 $

at 9.30

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

42.36 $

at 10.59

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

42.80 $

at 21.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 122.38 $ +59.61 (+48.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

74.43 $

at 9.30

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

10.59 $

at 10.59

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

21.40 $

at 21.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 106.42 $ +74.91 (+70.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

240.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

176.29 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

224.25 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

195.84 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +57.69 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +72.02 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2124313 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 84.18$ · invest 94.71$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074284 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2123854 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 82.15$ · invest 99.13$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2124019 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 79.22$ · invest 92.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2123759 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 78.92$ · invest 90.34$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2116905 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 78.85$ · invest 105.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −11 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2118774 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 78.06$ · invest 93.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2124252 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 77.79$ · invest 93.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2114206 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 77.59$ · invest 95.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2124283 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 76.67$ · invest 95.04$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)
Craft 2124144 · The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 75.77$ · invest 96.60$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076934

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build