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The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +98.57₴

Invest 292.36₴

Average return 390.93₴

ROI +33.7%

Chance of profit 54%

With float: invest at least 741.74 ₴, profit at most −350.82 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

28.93 ₴

at 28.93

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

256.39 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

7.04 ₴

at 7.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 292.36 ₴ +98.57 (+33.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

224.34 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

14.07 ₴

at 7.04

Steam

×1

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

13.31 ₴

at 13.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 251.72 ₴ +72.69 (+28.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

192.29 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

14.07 ₴

at 7.04

Steam

×2

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

26.61 ₴

at 13.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 232.98 ₴ +58.18 (+25.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

160.25 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

14.07 ₴

at 7.04

Steam

×3

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

39.92 ₴

at 13.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 214.24 ₴ +43.67 (+20.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 54%
Losing outcome 46%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

276.46 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

837.69 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.010196

407.96 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

229.17 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

687.78 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

103.52 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Block-18

Factory New

float up to 0.013173

74.83 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Etch Lord

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

164.39 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Just Smile

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

132.36 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

float up to 0.012134

51.70 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +32.76 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +80.49 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2124487 · The Falchion Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 109.24₴ · invest 307.89₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2124291 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 106.70₴ · invest 306.24₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2121232 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 106.28₴ · invest 295.90₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2124393 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 105.57₴ · invest 301.13₴
profit on prices without salesat least −5 ₴ rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2123860 · The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 105.51₴ · invest 296.14₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2123767 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 101.55₴ · invest 305.57₴
profit on prices without salesat least −15 ₴ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2115859 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 99.54₴ · invest 299.67₴
profit on prices without salesat least −15 ₴ rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077308 instead of 0.074673; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.006395 instead of 0.004088
Craft 2123706 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 98.74₴ · invest 293.19₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2123732 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 98.32₴ · invest 293.84₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build