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The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +185.72₴

Invest 408.02₴

Average return 593.74₴

ROI +45.5%

Chance of profit 44%

With float: invest at least 992.86 ₴, profit at most −399.12 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

192.29 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×4

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

215.73 ₴

at 53.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 408.02 ₴ +185.72 (+45.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

160.25 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×4

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

215.73 ₴

at 53.93

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

153.53 ₴

at 153.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 529.51 ₴ +134.34 (+25.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

128.20 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×4

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

215.73 ₴

at 53.93

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

307.06 ₴

at 153.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 650.99 ₴ +82.96 (+12.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 56%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

276.46 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

837.69 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

407.96 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

229.17 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

50.31 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | ZX Spectron

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 341.79 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol

Factory New

float up to 0.028699

512.70 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Spider Lily

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 019.91 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

264.63 ₴ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Mount Fuji

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

693.61 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +78.81 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +135.29 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2131112 · The Horizon Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 219.55₴ · invest 460.76₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2134247 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 211.50₴ · invest 383.21₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2134484 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 208.58₴ · invest 346.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2118196 · The Chroma Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 201.87₴ · invest 452.91₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2110884 · The Ascent Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 198.39₴ · invest 452.31₴
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2117264 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 196.69₴ · invest 368.50₴
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163312 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2134408 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 196.68₴ · invest 396.11₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2134337 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 189.47₴ · invest 413.58₴
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2128277 · The Gamma Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 181.49₴ · invest 361.55₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2134261 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 179.03₴ · invest 400.56₴
profit on prices without salesat least −32 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162677 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2130600 · The Harlequin Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 165.21₴ · invest 444.84₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build