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The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +34 385.45₸

Invest 43 839.09₸

Average return 78 224.54₸

ROI +78.4%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 112 551.46 ₸, profit at most −34 326.87 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

37 997.93 ₸

at 4 221.99

Steam

×1

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

5 841.15 ₸

at 5 841.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43 839.09 ₸ +34 385.45 (+78.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 880 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

2 087.29 ₸

at 2 087.29

Steam

×6

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

25 331.96 ₸

at 4 221.99

Steam

×3

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

17 523.46 ₸

at 5 841.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44 942.70 ₸ +25 454.89 (+56.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 760 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

6 261.87 ₸

at 2 087.29

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

4 221.99 ₸

at 4 221.99

Steam

×6

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

35 046.92 ₸

at 5 841.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45 530.78 ₸ +13 126.41 (+28.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 275 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

4 174.58 ₸

at 2 087.29

Steam

×2

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

8 962.57 ₸

at 4 481.29

Steam

×6

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

35 046.92 ₸

at 5 841.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48 184.07 ₸ +2 646.18 (+5.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

108 917.76 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 999.72 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

45 898.42 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

53 009.21 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Fracture Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +26 703.42 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +32 728.55 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2124313 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 38 202.40₸ · invest 42 981.88₸
profit on prices without salesat least −362 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074284 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2123854 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 37 279.40₸ · invest 44 987.92₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2124019 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 35 951.00₸ · invest 41 911.51₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2123759 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 35 812.71₸ · invest 40 998.66₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2116905 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 35 781.88₸ · invest 47 668.64₸
profit on prices without salesat least −5 049 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2118774 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 35 425.52₸ · invest 42 314.59₸
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2124252 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 35 299.78₸ · invest 42 524.87₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2114206 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 35 209.43₸ · invest 43 208.30₸
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2124283 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 34 793.92₸ · invest 43 127.96₸
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2123962 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 34 502.80₸ · invest 47 710.11₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.075874

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build