Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 2124414 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +6 107.97₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 8 482.42₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 14 590.39₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +72.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 21 663.18₽ · profit at most −7 072.79₽ (−32.6%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 7 108.83 → 18 696.22 ₽
XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 1 373.59 → 2 966.95 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

9% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)

Price understated: Only 9% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×9
SG 553 | Cyrex
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0770
7 108.83 ₽
at 789.87
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077019f′ (normalized) 0.077019wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 48 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one · little data, days: 3
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 41) · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
×1
XM1014 | XOXO
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0061
1 373.59 ₽
at 1 373.59
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006141f′ (normalized) 0.006824wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 45 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 4 204.11 ₽ · little data, days: 3
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 59 · from 8 513.52 ₽ (float 0.0001) · craft not before 18.10 · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 8 482.42 ₽ +6 107.97 (+72.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.055299, 0.069999 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
20 376.84 ₽ 45.00%
Steam AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)net 17 718.99 ₽ sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 19 940.97 ₽ (you get 17 339.97 ₽)) · buy orders: 1259 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 406.88 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 990.00 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 16 080.53 ₽ listings: 141 on CS.Money: ~ 16 543.17 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 349.63 ₽ listings: 100
in profit
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
14 966.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)net 13 014.54 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 812.19 ₽ (you get 12 880.16 ₽)) · buy orders: 1200 sell on Market.CSGO: 12 366.45 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 13 559.71 · lots 39 on CSFloat: from 11 901.44 ₽ listings: 107 on CS.Money: ~ 12 324.19 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 12 072.92 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
worst
M4A4 | In Living Color
Factory New
float up to 0.055299
8 253.16 ₽ 5.00%
Steam M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New)net 7 176.66 ₽The Snakebite Collection sells 8 a week sell now to a buy order: 8 601.42 ₽ (you get 7 479.49 ₽)) · buy orders: 2040 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 114.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 800.69 · lots 38 on CSFloat: from 6 706.23 ₽ listings: 95 on CS.Money: ~ 7 423.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 798.76 ₽ listings: 225
at a loss
USP-S | The Traitor
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
9 233.76 ₽ 5.00%
Steam USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New)net 8 029.36 ₽The Snakebite Collection sells 10 a week sell now to a buy order: 9 824.97 ₽ (you get 8 543.45 ₽)) · buy orders: 1843 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 973.60 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 742.99 · lots 34 on CSFloat: from 7 555.12 ₽ listings: 94 on CS.Money: ~ 7 860.72 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 414.21 ₽ listings: 123

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

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