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The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +124.74₴

Invest 467.05₴

Average return 591.79₴

ROI +26.7%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 1 122.52 ₴, profit at most −530.73 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

278.57 ₴

at 39.80

Steam

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

101.09 ₴

at 50.54

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

87.39 ₴

at 87.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 467.05 ₴ +124.74 (+26.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

381.20 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.047999

1 157.21 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

380.75 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

944.00 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113999

1 314.38 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

885.85 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +32.97 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +96.86 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2114199 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 130.78₴ · invest 406.01₴
rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167199 instead of 0.163126; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167199 instead of 0.163126
Craft 2110668 · The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 130.12₴ · invest 414.02₴
USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162772 instead of 0.163126; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162772 instead of 0.163126
Craft 2123934 · The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 128.74₴ · invest 434.45₴
USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165910 instead of 0.163126; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165910 instead of 0.163126
Craft 2120109 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 128.39₴ · invest 409.74₴
MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161977 instead of 0.163126; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161977 instead of 0.163126
Craft 2123746 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 127.01₴ · invest 399.38₴
MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163486 instead of 0.163126; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163486 instead of 0.163126
Craft 2120110 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 124.67₴ · invest 406.53₴
G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164447 instead of 0.163126; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164447 instead of 0.163126
Craft 2118765 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 123.58₴ · invest 400.85₴
Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168344 instead of 0.163126; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168344 instead of 0.163126

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build