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The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +8.79$

Invest 17.17$

Average return 25.96$

ROI +51.2%

Chance of profit 63%

With float: invest at least 44.76 $, profit at most −18.80 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.84 $

at 0.84

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

16.33 $

at 1.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.17 $ +8.79 (+51.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 37%
About break-even 3%

in profit

best

AUG | Momentum

Factory New

float up to 0.068627

43.29 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

float up to 0.260784

8.97 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Incinegator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

41.22 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

18.50 $ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

19.80 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

15.87 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.76 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.22 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2135201 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 9.69$ · invest 19.65$
sells slowly

FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.005373 instead of 0.003981
Craft 2126837 · The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 9.52$ · invest 17.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.004276 instead of 0.003981
Craft 2128369 · The Gamma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 9.49$ · invest 18.51$
sells slowly

AUG | Aristocrat (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.003714 instead of 0.003981
Craft 2136165 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 9.45$ · invest 17.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.004104 instead of 0.003981
Craft 2121759 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 9.41$ · invest 18.12$
sells slowly

Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.005332 instead of 0.003981
Craft 2127684 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 9.38$ · invest 17.89$
sells slowly

Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.003859 instead of 0.003981
Craft 2112256 · The Boreal Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 9.29$ · invest 17.86$
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.003784 instead of 0.003981
Craft 2114630 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 9.23$ · invest 17.37$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.004276 instead of 0.003981
Craft 2129031 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 9.20$ · invest 17.68$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.005332 instead of 0.003981
Craft 2134704 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 9.16$ · invest 20.70$
sells slowly

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.004276 instead of 0.003981
Craft 2129678 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 9.00$ · invest 22.64$
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Stinger (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2119290 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 8.73$ · invest 17.13$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.004537 instead of 0.003981

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build