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The Gamma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +28.42$

Invest 151.66$

Average return 180.08$

ROI +18.7%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 364.20 $, profit at most −184.12 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×3

P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0793

42.75 $

at 14.25

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

92.42 $

at 15.40

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3881

16.49 $

at 16.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 151.66 $ +28.42 (+18.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −56 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

28.50 $

at 14.25

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

61.61 $

at 15.40

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3837

16.49 $

at 16.49

Steam

×3

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

60.00 $

at 20.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 166.60 $ +2.19 (+1.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −33 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

14.25 $

at 14.25

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

92.42 $

at 15.40

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3836

16.49 $

at 16.49

Steam

×2

P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

38.71 $

at 19.36

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 161.87 $ +10.68 (+6.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.047249

162.30 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

260.55 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.251749

224.76 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

111.48 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gamma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.70 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +22.14 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2104927 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 30.11$ · invest 169.89$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Propaganda (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Well-Worn); P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075921 instead of 0.079342; SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.005180 instead of 0.008175

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gamma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build