to all crafts

The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +992.33₸

Invest 2 313.60₸

Average return 3 305.93₸

ROI +42.9%

Chance of profit 93%

With float: invest at least 5 595.26 ₸, profit at most −2 289.33 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1 434.16 ₸

at 204.88

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

770.99 ₸

at 385.49

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

108.45 ₸

at 108.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 313.60 ₸ +992.33 (+42.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

819.52 ₸

at 204.88

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1 156.48 ₸

at 385.49

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

108.45 ₸

at 108.45

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

278.59 ₸

at 139.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 363.04 ₸ +679.58 (+28.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

614.64 ₸

at 204.88

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

1 156.48 ₸

at 385.49

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

557.18 ₸

at 139.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 328.30 ₸ +582.68 (+25.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

204.88 ₸

at 204.88

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1 541.97 ₸

at 385.49

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

108.45 ₸

at 108.45

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

557.18 ₸

at 139.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 412.48 ₸ +366.84 (+15.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 93%
Losing outcome 7%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 856.69 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 049.71 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 741.61 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

2 359.83 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.153999

1 216.24 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +608.92 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +818.45 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2130178 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1 057.56₸ · invest 2 716.36₸
rare inputs

SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076990 instead of 0.076059; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.006116 instead of 0.005302
Craft 2129452 · The Glove Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1 053.37₸ · invest 2 614.00₸
MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076122 instead of 0.076059; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.005357 instead of 0.005302
Craft 2130897 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 988.76₸ · invest 2 579.31₸
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074727 instead of 0.076059; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.004136 instead of 0.005302
Craft 2109264 · The Arabesque Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 983.18₸ · invest 2 413.77₸
FAMAS | Snake Song (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079756 instead of 0.076059; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.008536 instead of 0.005302
Craft 2130845 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 983.12₸ · invest 2 405.59₸
AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079756 instead of 0.076059; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.008536 instead of 0.005302

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build