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The Harlequin Collection + The Train Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +49.22₴

Invest 18.61₴

Average return 67.83₴

ROI +264.5%

Chance of profit 18%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 45.97₴ · profit at most +21.86₴ (+47.5%) · chance of profit at most 18%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 7.68 → 18.96 ₴

Dual Berettas | Colony (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 10.93 → 27.01 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

7.68 ₴

at 1.54

Steam

×5

Dual Berettas | Colony

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

10.93 ₴

at 2.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.61 ₴ +49.22 (+264.5%)

What you get 11 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 82%

at a loss

MP5-SD | Picnic

Factory New

float up to 0.010135

11.49 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

12.58 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

58.24 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

9.00 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

7.57 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Urban DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

775.44 ₴ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.004054

16.27 ₴ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5.44 ₴ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5.50 ₴ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Ash Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.006081

9.80 ₴ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

float up to 0.001621

4.95 ₴ 8.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The Rising Sun Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +34.67 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +41.44 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2101943 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train Collection · profit 56.31₴ · invest 21.74₴
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New)
Craft 2104691 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection · profit 52.75₴ · invest 40.37₴
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Colony (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074045 instead of 0.074809
Craft 2108908 · The Anubis Collection + The Train Collection · profit 49.24₴ · invest 67.77₴
AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Colony (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074809
Craft 2103621 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train Collection · profit 48.67₴ · invest 55.22₴
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Colony (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.074809
Craft 2111162 · The Ascent Collection + The Train Collection · profit 46.52₴ · invest 18.56₴
P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New)
Craft 2112465 · The Boreal Collection + The Train Collection · profit 46.00₴ · invest 18.37₴
M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New)
Craft 2107019 · The Achroma Collection + The Train Collection · profit 44.63₴ · invest 18.19₴
SSG 08 | Sans Comic (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Colony (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074809
Craft 2136611 · The Radiant Collection + The Train Collection · profit 44.54₴ · invest 18.08₴
G3SG1 | Red Jasper (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Colony (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074960 instead of 0.074809
Craft 2102731 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train Collection · profit 42.77₴ · invest 23.38₴
P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Colony (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074809

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Train Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 11 outcomes

More

How to build