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The Horizon Collection + The St. Marc Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit −31 672.45₽

Invest 32 060.21₽

Average return 387.76₽

ROI −98.8%

Chance of profit 0%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 69 553.13₽ · profit at most −69 165.37₽ (−99.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred) × 9 29% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 644.85 → 1 695.96 ₽

Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Minimal Wear) × 1 29% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 31 415.36 → 67 857.18 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

The gain is understated. 1 outcome has no price on Steam: it is above its cap and is not listed on the market. It counts as zero in the calculation and accounts for 10.0% of the probability.

+ a third collection

How to build

29% of lots fit assemble: no data

×9

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.6101

644.85 ₽

at 71.65

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Synth Leaf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0933

31 415.36 ₽

at 31 415.36

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32 060.21 ₽ −31 672.45 (−98.8%)

The gain is understated, noticeably. 1 outcomes have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 90% of the probability.

99% of lots fit assemble: no data

×1

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9946

71.65 ₽

at 71.65

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Synth Leaf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1492

125 661.44 ₽

at 31 415.36

Steam

×5

AUG | Midnight Lily

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3777

172 500.00 ₽

at 34 500.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 298 233.09 ₽ −298 190.01 (−100.0%)

92% of lots fit assemble: no data

×2

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9559

143.30 ₽

at 71.65

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Synth Leaf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1435

125 661.44 ₽

at 31 415.36

Steam

×4

AUG | Midnight Lily

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3615

138 000.00 ₽

at 34 500.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 263 804.74 ₽ −263 718.57 (−100.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Well-Worn

float up to 0.393749

449.13 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

at a loss

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

600.90 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

436.39 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

MP9 | Wild Lily

Well-Worn

float up to 0.393749

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The St. Marc Collection

Variant 2 only The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The St. Marc Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The St. Marc Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The St. Marc Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The St. Marc Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −31 720.90 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −31 678.12 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The St. Marc Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2131067 · The Horizon Collection + The Norse Collection · profit −28 802.09₽ · invest 29 194.03₽
no outcome price rare inputs

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) instead of Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Eye of Athena: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; Sawed-Off | Devourer: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.740667 instead of 0.610190
Craft 2131068 · The Horizon Collection + The Norse Collection · profit −28 802.09₽ · invest 29 194.03₽
no outcome price rare inputs

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) instead of Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Eye of Athena: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; Sawed-Off | Devourer: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.610190
Craft 2131069 · The Horizon Collection + The Norse Collection · profit −28 808.30₽ · invest 29 194.03₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) instead of Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Devourer: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.624894 instead of 0.610190
Craft 2119765 · The Cobblestone Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit −29 969.20₽ · invest 30 361.14₽
no outcome price rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Eye of Athena: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; Sawed-Off | Devourer: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.610190
Craft 2131492 · The Horizon Collection + The St. Marc Collection · profit −31 674.48₽ · invest 32 060.21₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.697461 instead of 0.610190; Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.105994 instead of 0.093300

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The St. Marc Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build