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The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +42.34$

Invest 146.62$

Average return 188.95$

ROI +28.9%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 347.75 $, profit at most −158.79 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

74.13 $

at 10.59

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

42.80 $

at 21.40

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

29.68 $

at 29.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 146.62 $ +42.34 (+28.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

74.13 $

at 10.59

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

21.40 $

at 21.40

Steam

×2

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

59.37 $

at 29.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 154.90 $ +40.36 (+26.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −167 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

10.59 $

at 10.59

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

21.40 $

at 21.40

Steam

×8

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

171.96 $

at 21.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 203.95 $ +29.16 (+14.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −194 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

10.59 $

at 10.59

Steam

×8

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

171.96 $

at 21.49

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

29.68 $

at 29.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 212.23 $ +27.19 (+12.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −114 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

9.98 $

at 9.98

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

31.77 $

at 10.59

Steam

×4

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

85.98 $

at 21.49

Steam

×2

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

59.37 $

at 29.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 187.09 $ +33.40 (+17.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

224.25 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

195.84 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

474.79 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

90.38 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17.68 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +36.00 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2113491 · The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.53$ · invest 142.65$
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076315 instead of 0.077058; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New): float at most 0.005526 instead of 0.006176
Craft 2131016 · The Horizon Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 42.18$ · invest 154.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076896 instead of 0.077058; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New): float at most 0.006034 instead of 0.006176
Craft 2131467 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 41.13$ · invest 136.30$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076984 instead of 0.077058; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New): float at most 0.006111 instead of 0.006176
Craft 2120421 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 40.33$ · invest 129.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076896 instead of 0.077058; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New): float at most 0.006034 instead of 0.006176
Craft 2131409 · The Horizon Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 40.23$ · invest 133.11$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077346 instead of 0.077058; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New): float at most 0.006428 instead of 0.006176
Craft 2126560 · The Gallery Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 39.10$ · invest 138.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.077058; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New): float at most 0.006363 instead of 0.006176

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build