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The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit −89.78$

Invest 186.07$

Average return 96.29$

ROI −48.2%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 438.58 $, profit at most −342.29 $

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

72.03 $

at 9.00

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

114.03 $

at 57.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 186.07 $ −89.78 (−48.2%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 45.0% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

9.00 $

at 9.00

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

342.10 $

at 57.02

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

335.25 $

at 111.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 686.35 $ −465.38 (−67.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 80%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

45.05 $ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

124.25 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.010810

40.01 $ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.062972

549.19 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −132.94 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −91.84 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build