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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +18.74$

Invest 40.27$

Average return 59.02$

ROI +46.5%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 94.66 $, profit at most −35.64 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

12% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

7.37 $

at 7.37

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0799

17.71 $

at 2.53

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

15.19 $

at 7.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.27 $ +18.74 (+46.5%)

12% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

14.75 $

at 7.37

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

17.71 $

at 2.53

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

7.60 $

at 7.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.05 $ +18.49 (+46.2%)

9% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

4.37 $

at 4.37

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

22.12 $

at 7.37

Steam

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

15.18 $

at 2.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.67 $ +15.92 (+38.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

17.81 $

at 4.45

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

29.50 $

at 7.37

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

2.08 $

at 2.08

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

2.53 $

at 2.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.92 $ +3.78 (+7.3%)

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

13.36 $

at 4.45

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

22.12 $

at 7.37

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

10.12 $

at 2.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45.60 $ +11.05 (+24.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

134.33 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

38.87 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

32.05 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Crakow!

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

81.55 $ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

float up to 0.047058

44.38 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.70 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16.50 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2138266 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 18.71$ · invest 37.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078387 instead of 0.079905; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.007338 instead of 0.008667
Craft 2123572 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.59$ · invest 35.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078981 instead of 0.079905; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.007858 instead of 0.008667
Craft 2137467 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.58$ · invest 37.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080206 instead of 0.079905; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.008667
Craft 2117491 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.53$ · invest 36.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080206 instead of 0.079905; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.008667
Craft 2111051 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.09$ · invest 38.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $ rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079622 instead of 0.079905; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.008420 instead of 0.008667
Craft 2138208 · The Shadow Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 17.63$ · invest 40.16$
profit on prices without salesat least −3 $ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.079905; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.004289 instead of 0.008667
Craft 2138245 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 16.88$ · invest 43.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $ rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079355 instead of 0.079905; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.008186 instead of 0.008667

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build