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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +52.14$

Invest 285.71$

Average return 337.84$

ROI +18.2%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 735.63 $, profit at most −397.78 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

252.13 $

at 28.01

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

33.58 $

at 33.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 285.71 $ +52.14 (+18.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −85 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

11.02 $

at 11.02

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

84.04 $

at 28.01

Steam

×5

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

99.99 $

at 20.00

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

33.58 $

at 33.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 228.63 $ +2.74 (+1.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

11.02 $

at 11.02

Steam

×7

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

196.10 $

at 28.01

Steam

×2

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

67.16 $

at 33.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 274.28 $ +42.27 (+15.4%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | B the Monster

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

413.01 $ 90.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.251749

224.76 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

111.48 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Recoil Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.65 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +33.93 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2134970 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 55.73$ · invest 281.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076885 instead of 0.077216
Craft 2134854 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 54.97$ · invest 279.16$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Factory New)
Craft 2129611 · The Glove Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 54.29$ · invest 307.93$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077046 instead of 0.077216
Craft 2128963 · The Genesis Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 53.95$ · invest 278.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Factory New)
Craft 2124116 · The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 50.79$ · invest 277.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.077216

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build