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The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +107 522.45₸

Invest 78 469.02₸

Average return 185 991.48₸

ROI +137.0%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 194 202.25 ₸, profit at most −8 210.78 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −76 164 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

5% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

5 841.15 ₸

at 5 841.15

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

10 634.44 ₸

at 5 317.22

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

61 993.43 ₸

at 8 856.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 78 469.02 ₸ +107 522.45 (+137.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −39 347 ₸

9% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1698

4 481.29 ₸

at 4 481.29

Steam

×6

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

35 046.92 ₸

at 5 841.15

Steam

×3

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1698

15 951.66 ₸

at 5 317.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 55 479.86 ₸ +35 186.16 (+63.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −56 666 ₸

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

23 364.61 ₸

at 5 841.15

Steam

×3

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

15 951.66 ₸

at 5 317.22

Steam

×3

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

26 568.61 ₸

at 8 856.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 65 884.88 ₸ +72 443.89 (+110.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −70 844 ₸

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

11 682.31 ₸

at 5 841.15

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

10 634.44 ₸

at 5 317.22

Steam

×6

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

53 137.23 ₸

at 8 856.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75 453.97 ₸ +94 649.94 (+125.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

340 313.76 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

124 008.04 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

45 898.42 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

53 009.21 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +74 328.17 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +83 071.33 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2136376 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 112 461.17₸ · invest 76 699.18₸
profit on prices without salesat least −76 699 ₸ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161898 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2128740 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 110 416.36₸ · invest 79 617.86₸
profit on prices without salesat least −71 275 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162207 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074245 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2132917 · The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 109 087.96₸ · invest 76 541.45₸
profit on prices without salesat least −72 603 ₸ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162410 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074316 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2126379 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 108 949.67₸ · invest 75 628.60₸
profit on prices without salesat least −72 741 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162268 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2117755 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 108 918.84₸ · invest 82 298.57₸
profit on prices without salesat least −82 299 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162466 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074336 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2119716 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 108 562.49₸ · invest 76 944.53₸
profit on prices without salesat least −73 129 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162384 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2137077 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 108 436.75₸ · invest 77 154.81₸
profit on prices without salesat least −75 385 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162429 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2114993 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 108 346.39₸ · invest 77 838.24₸
profit on prices without salesat least −76 712 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162131 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074219 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2137437 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 107 930.89₸ · invest 77 757.90₸
profit on prices without salesat least −73 760 ₸ rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162480 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074340 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2113966 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 106 831.08₸ · invest 84 297.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −80 793 ₸ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New)
Craft 2132060 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 106 672.28₸ · invest 89 784.81₸
profit on prices without salesat least −88 236 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162268 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2138981 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 106 197.27₸ · invest 81 418.81₸
profit on prices without salesat least −75 494 ₸ rare inputs

AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162319 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074284 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2121178 · The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 105 831.14₸ · invest 78 138.85₸
profit on prices without salesat least −75 860 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162268 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2118608 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 104 719.76₸ · invest 82 608.65₸
profit on prices without salesat least −76 971 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162361 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074299 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2139052 · The Sport & Field Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 102 319.31₸ · invest 87 715.59₸
profit on prices without salesat least −79 372 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162323 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074286 instead of 0.074142

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build