The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.

Average profit +358.74₽

Invest 377.87₽

Average return 736.61₽

ROI +94.9%

Chance of profit 88%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 885.42₽ · profit at most −148.81₽ (−16.8%) · chance of profit at most 24%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 169.35 → 418.29 ₽

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 126.00 → 284.76 ₽

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 82.52 → 182.37 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

169.35 ₽

at 33.87

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

126.00 ₽

at 42.00

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

82.52 ₽

at 41.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 377.87 ₽ +358.74 (+94.9%)

9% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 9% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

101.61 ₽

at 33.87

Steam

×5

SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

149.30 ₽

at 29.86

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

82.52 ₽

at 41.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 333.43 ₽ +237.18 (+71.1%)

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

135.48 ₽

at 33.87

Steam

×4

SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

119.44 ₽

at 29.86

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

82.52 ₽

at 41.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 337.44 ₽ +266.37 (+78.9%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

33.87 ₽

at 33.87

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

336.00 ₽

at 42.00

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

41.26 ₽

at 41.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 411.13 ₽ +358.68 (+87.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 88%
Losing outcome 12%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 882.24 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

618.08 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

522.65 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

670.89 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 380.38 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

540.50 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

308.16 ₽ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

160.72 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

318.54 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +221.50 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +292.25 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2131345 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 365.65₽ · invest 449.61₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 2134801 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 360.59₽ · invest 400.79₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 2135312 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 301.74₽ · invest 477.16₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074162 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074162 instead of 0.074117

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build