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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +7 472.80₸

Invest 22 126.92₸

Average return 29 599.72₸

ROI +33.8%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 52 789.69 ₸, profit at most −23 189.97 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

3% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

942.99 ₸

at 942.99

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

6 217.49 ₸

at 1 243.50

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

14 966.44 ₸

at 3 741.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22 126.92 ₸ +7 472.80 (+33.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 889 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

9 184.69 ₸

at 1 148.09

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

2 625.70 ₸

at 2 625.70

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

3 741.61 ₸

at 3 741.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 552.00 ₸ +1 574.15 (+10.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 766 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

6 888.52 ₸

at 1 148.09

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

2 487.00 ₸

at 1 243.50

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

7 483.22 ₸

at 3 741.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16 858.74 ₸ +3 831.30 (+22.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

3 444.26 ₸

at 1 148.09

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

4 973.99 ₸

at 1 243.50

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

11 224.83 ₸

at 3 741.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 643.08 ₸ +6 392.76 (+32.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 756.58 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 421.28 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079499

14 606.98 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

17 639.02 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

14 543.91 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 002.99 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 897.07 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2133855 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 7 390.08₸ · invest 24 618.62₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166051 instead of 0.164223; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004885 instead of 0.004328
Craft 2101941 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 7 199.81₸ · invest 22 688.54₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170425 instead of 0.164223; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.006216 instead of 0.004328

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build