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The Shadow Collection + The Train Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +297.41₽

Invest 429.21₽

Average return 726.62₽

ROI +69.3%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 1 071.57 ₽, profit at most −344.95 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

33.87 ₽

at 33.87

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

336.00 ₽

at 42.00

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

59.34 ₽

at 59.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 429.21 ₽ +297.41 (+69.3%)

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

135.48 ₽

at 33.87

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

84.00 ₽

at 42.00

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

30.25 ₽

at 30.25

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

178.02 ₽

at 59.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 427.75 ₽ +69.71 (+16.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 882.24 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

618.08 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

522.65 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

670.89 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

45.00 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 only The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +158.36 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +229.77 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2125251 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 313.46₽ · invest 428.45₽
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2132187 · The Italy Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 310.44₽ · invest 424.54₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2137910 · The Safehouse Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 303.50₽ · invest 429.97₽
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build