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The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +10 249.48₸

Invest 15 454.18₸

Average return 25 703.66₸

ROI +66.3%

Chance of profit 43%

With float: invest at least 36 554.31 ₸, profit at most −10 850.65 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

943.00 ₸

at 943.00

Steam

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

6 888.54 ₸

at 1 148.09

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

7 622.65 ₸

at 2 540.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 454.18 ₸ +10 249.48 (+66.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −296 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

8 036.63 ₸

at 1 148.09

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

6 893.56 ₸

at 3 446.78

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

2 540.88 ₸

at 2 540.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 471.08 ₸ +9 095.45 (+52.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 766 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

2 296.18 ₸

at 1 148.09

Steam

×3

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

4 481.13 ₸

at 1 493.71

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

12 704.41 ₸

at 2 540.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 481.72 ₸ +4 064.79 (+20.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 811 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

5 740.45 ₸

at 1 148.09

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

1 105.33 ₸

at 1 105.33

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

10 163.53 ₸

at 2 540.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 009.31 ₸ +7 831.48 (+46.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 43%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 23%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60 959.89 ₸ 23.33%

Steam

about break-even

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

17 639.07 ₸ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

14 543.95 ₸ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Elite Build

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

34 348.09 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.044705

32 338.30 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.035294

11 572.09 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6 274.81 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9 023.72 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2113776 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 13 109.27₸ · invest 12 126.33₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2131868 · The Huntsman Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12 302.30₸ · invest 19 276.41₸
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2127814 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 583.59₸ · invest 11 242.45₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2138039 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 11 468.27₸ · invest 11 336.26₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2134449 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 266.16₸ · invest 15 846.09₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2123029 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 217.66₸ · invest 9 427.87₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2136469 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 059.00₸ · invest 15 597.06₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074798 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074798 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2125268 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11 022.97₸ · invest 10 013.49₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074869 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074869 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2132608 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10 973.98₸ · invest 9 499.23₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074667 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074667 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2138078 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 10 901.35₸ · invest 11 448.03₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New)
Craft 2119452 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10 881.39₸ · invest 10 021.83₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074467 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074467 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2128496 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10 774.60₸ · invest 13 040.19₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2136767 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10 657.92₸ · invest 9 819.94₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074748 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074748 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2127016 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10 649.42₸ · invest 12 115.42₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2138006 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 10 573.25₸ · invest 10 408.76₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074748 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074748 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2130379 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10 347.57₸ · invest 28 677.71₸
profit on prices without salesat least −16 309 ₸ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074528 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074528 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2114769 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10 339.55₸ · invest 11 573.42₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2112353 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10 196.51₸ · invest 12 465.16₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074798 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074798 instead of 0.074114
Craft 2121922 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 9 907.32₸ · invest 13 263.73₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Amberline (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075404 instead of 0.074114; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075404 instead of 0.074114

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build