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The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +15 720.34₽

Invest 42 605.97₽

Average return 58 326.31₽

ROI +36.9%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 108 659.22 ₽, profit at most −50 332.92 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 606 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

7 222.29 ₽

at 7 222.29

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

35 383.68 ₽

at 3 931.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42 605.97 ₽ +15 720.34 (+36.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −45 119 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

22 811.04 ₽

at 3 801.84

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

14 444.58 ₽

at 7 222.29

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

7 863.04 ₽

at 3 931.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45 118.66 ₽ +9 728.47 (+21.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 989 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

26 612.88 ₽

at 3 801.84

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

14 444.58 ₽

at 7 222.29

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

3 931.52 ₽

at 3 931.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44 988.98 ₽ +9 361.13 (+20.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 476 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3 801.84 ₽

at 3 801.84

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

7 222.29 ₽

at 7 222.29

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

31 452.16 ₽

at 3 931.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42 476.29 ₽ +15 352.99 (+36.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 919 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

15 207.36 ₽

at 3 801.84

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

10 558.26 ₽

at 5 279.13

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

11 794.56 ₽

at 3 931.52

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

7 358.90 ₽

at 7 358.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44 919.08 ₽ +10 922.10 (+24.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

126 000.00 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

9 293.67 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 036.01 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 826.08 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 only The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7 236.46 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15 288.17 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2139236 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 14 241.22₽ · invest 40 610.52₽
profit on prices without salesat least −40 611 ₽ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build