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The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +758.94₴

Invest 1 977.27₴

Average return 2 736.21₴

ROI +38.4%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 4 615.52 ₴, profit at most −1 879.31 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −160 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0793

796.08 ₴

at 113.73

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

682.85 ₴

at 341.43

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

498.34 ₴

at 498.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 977.27 ₴ +758.94 (+38.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −249 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

796.08 ₴

at 113.73

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

341.43 ₴

at 341.43

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

996.68 ₴

at 498.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 134.19 ₴ +663.92 (+31.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −889 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

568.63 ₴

at 113.73

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

414.00 ₴

at 414.00

Steam

×4

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

1 993.36 ₴

at 498.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 975.99 ₴ +7.79 (+0.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −616 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

186.82 ₴

at 93.41

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

454.90 ₴

at 113.73

Steam

×4

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

1 993.36 ₴

at 498.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 635.08 ₴ +286.81 (+10.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −319 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

93.41 ₴

at 93.41

Steam

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

682.35 ₴

at 113.73

Steam

×3

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

1 495.02 ₴

at 498.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 270.79 ₴ +589.21 (+25.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 038.47 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

1 747.26 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

1 440.67 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

float up to 0.023529

3 706.30 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

4 653.08 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

float up to 0.042352

3 002.34 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +330.19 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +643.19 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2134810 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 842.59₴ · invest 1 810.41₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079905 instead of 0.079355; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.008667 instead of 0.008186
Craft 2138266 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 841.22₴ · invest 1 664.06₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078387 instead of 0.079355; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.007338 instead of 0.008186
Craft 2123572 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 835.50₴ · invest 1 584.83₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078981 instead of 0.079355; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.007858 instead of 0.008186
Craft 2137467 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 835.29₴ · invest 1 706.75₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080206 instead of 0.079355; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.008186
Craft 2117491 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 833.15₴ · invest 1 656.25₴
profit on prices without salesat least −36 ₴ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080206 instead of 0.079355; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.008186
Craft 2111051 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 813.41₴ · invest 1 722.49₴
profit on prices without salesat least −18 ₴ rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079622 instead of 0.079355; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.008420 instead of 0.008186
Craft 2138208 · The Shadow Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 792.40₴ · invest 1 805.13₴
profit on prices without salesat least −117 ₴ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.079355; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New): float at most 0.004289 instead of 0.008186

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build