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The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +30.48$

Invest 25.61$

Average return 56.09$

ROI +119.0%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 65.95 $, profit at most −9.85 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

22.59 $

at 2.51

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Azure Zebra

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

3.02 $

at 3.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.61 $ +30.48 (+119.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

8.24 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

11.78 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188.63 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.024042

27.98 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.005319

10.23 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +18.84 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.04 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Train 2025 Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2134188 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.52$ · invest 28.30$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007451 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2108897 · The Anubis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.38$ · invest 27.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2123621 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.36$ · invest 24.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2106196 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.23$ · invest 28.35$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir Negev | Infrastructure (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007547 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2105093 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.19$ · invest 26.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004332 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2109910 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 27.47$ · invest 28.90$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006828 instead of 0.006807

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build