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The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +75.10$

Invest 205.17$

Average return 280.27$

ROI +36.6%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 495.17 $, profit at most −214.90 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −166 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

37.68 $

at 12.56

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

137.81 $

at 22.97

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

29.68 $

at 29.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 205.17 $ +75.10 (+36.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −221 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

37.68 $

at 12.56

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

22.97 $

at 22.97

Steam

×6

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

178.11 $

at 29.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 238.75 $ +22.32 (+9.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −210 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

37.68 $

at 12.56

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

45.94 $

at 22.97

Steam

×5

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

148.42 $

at 29.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 232.04 $ +32.88 (+14.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −199 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

37.68 $

at 12.56

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

68.90 $

at 22.97

Steam

×4

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

118.74 $

at 29.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 225.32 $ +43.43 (+19.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

553.59 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

99.85 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

474.79 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.019692

90.38 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +56.89 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +66.06 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2135881 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 76.39$ · invest 192.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −146 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076795 instead of 0.076530; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005946 instead of 0.005714
Craft 2123248 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 76.22$ · invest 191.81$
profit on prices without salesat least −140 $ rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076795 instead of 0.076530; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005946 instead of 0.005714
Craft 2125448 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 75.56$ · invest 191.47$
profit on prices without salesat least −141 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076795 instead of 0.076530; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005946 instead of 0.005714
Craft 2113908 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 75.29$ · invest 201.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −154 $ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075950 instead of 0.076530; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005206 instead of 0.005714
Craft 2131997 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 74.94$ · invest 213.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −171 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076405 instead of 0.076530; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005605 instead of 0.005714
Craft 2138889 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 73.89$ · invest 194.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −143 $ rare inputs

AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076473 instead of 0.076530; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005664 instead of 0.005714

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build