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The Wildfire Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +14.13$

Invest 221.64$

Average return 235.77$

ROI +6.4%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 552.68 $, profit at most −316.91 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −222 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

171.96 $

at 21.49

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

29.68 $

at 29.68

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

20.00 $

at 20.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 221.64 $ +14.13 (+6.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −220 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

150.46 $

at 21.49

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

29.68 $

at 29.68

Steam

×2

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

40.00 $

at 20.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 220.14 $ +5.68 (+2.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

474.79 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

90.38 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

224.76 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

111.48 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 only The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −25.47 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.32 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build