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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +15.33$

Invest 77.47$

Average return 92.81$

ROI +19.8%

Chance of profit 67%

With float: invest at least 184.67 $, profit at most −91.87 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −55 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

23.09 $

at 5.77

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

40.64 $

at 8.13

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

13.75 $

at 13.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77.47 $ +15.33 (+19.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −78 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

56.89 $

at 8.13

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

10.57 $

at 10.57

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

27.51 $

at 13.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94.96 $ +4.95 (+5.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −66 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

17.31 $

at 5.77

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

40.64 $

at 8.13

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

27.51 $

at 13.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 85.46 $ +10.90 (+12.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 3%
About break-even 30%

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

99.93 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

123.05 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

84.95 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

113.43 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

245.13 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

float up to 0.046599

71.89 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 only The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.42 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.12 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2139327 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 15.19$ · invest 88.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −67 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075919 instead of 0.075524; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New): float at most 0.005179 instead of 0.004833

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build