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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +69 039.71₸

Invest 221 755.71₸

Average return 290 795.42₸

ROI +31.1%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 567 884.33 ₸, profit at most −277 088.90 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −221 756 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

189 131.93 ₸

at 21 014.66

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0241

32 623.79 ₸

at 32 623.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 221 755.71 ₸ +69 039.71 (+31.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −228 236 ₸

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

147 102.61 ₸

at 21 014.66

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

15 885.91 ₸

at 15 885.91

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0237

65 247.58 ₸

at 32 623.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 228 236.10 ₸ +15 308.31 (+6.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −224 216 ₸

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

11 866.29 ₸

at 11 866.29

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

147 102.61 ₸

at 21 014.66

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0228

65 247.58 ₸

at 32 623.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 224 216.47 ₸ +42 953.44 (+19.2%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

673 491.92 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

49 676.28 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

89 890.70 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 only The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +24 999.00 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +67 198.89 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2110354 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 75 117.61₸ · invest 217 578.46₸
profit on prices without salesat least −217 578 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.076575
Craft 2132012 · The Huntsman Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 73 076.28₸ · invest 239 054.73₸
profit on prices without salesat least −211 481 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076575

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build