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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +111.12₴

Invest 666.22₴

Average return 777.33₴

ROI +16.7%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 1 688.66 ₴, profit at most −911.33 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

531.14 ₴

at 59.02

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0855

135.08 ₴

at 135.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 666.22 ₴ +111.12 (+16.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 ₴

5% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

35.29 ₴

at 35.29

Steam

×7

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

413.11 ₴

at 59.02

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0837

270.16 ₴

at 135.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 718.55 ₴ +63.91 (+8.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 344.08 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.042699

584.39 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 942.56 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

240.95 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

328.16 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

222.97 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 805.80 ₴ 2.00%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

2 049.00 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

479.66 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

178.01 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −13.32 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +58.41 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2130480 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 110.30₴ · invest 652.05₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076315
Craft 2134207 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 104.61₴ · invest 788.04₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076315
Craft 2139330 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 102.54₴ · invest 667.11₴
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075773 instead of 0.076315

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build