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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +10 604.63₴

Invest 8 497.64₴

Average return 19 102.28₴

ROI +124.8%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 22 065.74 ₴, profit at most −2 963.46 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 498 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

602.27 ₴

at 602.27

Steam

×9

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

7 895.38 ₴

at 877.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 497.64 ₴ +10 604.63 (+124.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 853 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

6 763.62 ₴

at 966.23

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

1 334.41 ₴

at 1 334.41

Steam

×2

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

1 754.53 ₴

at 877.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 852.56 ₴ +2 983.71 (+30.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 942 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

7 729.85 ₴

at 966.23

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

1 334.41 ₴

at 1 334.41

Steam

×1

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

877.26 ₴

at 877.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 941.53 ₴ +1 999.60 (+20.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 710.27 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

12 283.80 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21 343.07 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

4 062.69 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7 171.11 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8 116.78 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2130071 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 322.05₴ · invest 9 428.68₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 676 ₴ rare inputs

FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074683 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2133953 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 165.20₴ · invest 8 893.62₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 832 ₴ rare inputs

M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074252 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2118609 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 026.00₴ · invest 8 884.04₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 595 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2105116 · The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 9 797.91₴ · invest 9 751.94₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 372 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Propaganda (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075422 instead of 0.074334

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build