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The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +103 082.87₸

Invest 85 242.07₸

Average return 188 324.94₸

ROI +120.9%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 214 588.10 ₸, profit at most −26 263.17 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −85 242 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

9 075.44 ₸

at 9 075.44

Steam

×1

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

5 317.20 ₸

at 5 317.20

Steam

×8

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

70 849.43 ₸

at 8 856.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 85 242.07 ₸ +103 082.87 (+120.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −89 220 ₸

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

27 226.31 ₸

at 9 075.44

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

61 993.25 ₸

at 8 856.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 89 219.56 ₸ +71 998.37 (+80.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −89 439 ₸

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

36 301.75 ₸

at 9 075.44

Steam

×6

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

53 137.07 ₸

at 8 856.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 89 438.82 ₸ +58 225.61 (+65.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −89 658 ₸

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

45 377.18 ₸

at 9 075.44

Steam

×5

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

44 280.89 ₸

at 8 856.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 89 658.08 ₸ +44 452.85 (+49.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −89 877 ₸

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

54 452.62 ₸

at 9 075.44

Steam

×4

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

35 424.71 ₸

at 8 856.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 89 877.34 ₸ +30 680.08 (+34.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

340 312.74 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

124 007.67 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

101 998.92 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

50 590.91 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +69 099.26 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +78 362.58 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Winter Offensive Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2138274 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 110 721.17₸ · invest 82 700.82₸
profit on prices without salesat least −82 701 ₸ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162546 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2116717 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 109 595.98₸ · invest 82 319.71₸
profit on prices without salesat least −82 320 ₸ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162859 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074472 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2129437 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 109 590.77₸ · invest 81 482.07₸
profit on prices without salesat least −76 200 ₸ rare inputs

MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2122213 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 109 567.28₸ · invest 81 248.43₸
profit on prices without salesat least −81 248 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2124636 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 109 515.76₸ · invest 80 388.61₸
profit on prices without salesat least −75 653 ₸ rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2134996 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 109 108.97₸ · invest 88 879.50₸
profit on prices without salesat least −72 582 ₸ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2131594 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 109 006.79₸ · invest 80 972.46₸
profit on prices without salesat least −72 684 ₸ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2135951 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 107 825.87₸ · invest 79 884.51₸
profit on prices without salesat least −76 449 ₸ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2137723 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 107 800.06₸ · invest 81 150.56₸
profit on prices without salesat least −81 151 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166090 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075596 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2125534 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 107 777.46₸ · invest 79 060.18₸
profit on prices without salesat least −73 913 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2128068 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 107 689.08₸ · invest 82 701.41₸
profit on prices without salesat least −77 299 ₸ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2123345 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 107 472.61₸ · invest 79 817.16₸
profit on prices without salesat least −74 218 ₸ rare inputs

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2138649 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 107 047.02₸ · invest 78 707.51₸
profit on prices without salesat least −74 644 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162546 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2138820 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 106 966.35₸ · invest 83 027.89₸
profit on prices without salesat least −74 724 ₸ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163765 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074787 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2127350 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 106 472.79₸ · invest 81 025.33₸
profit on prices without salesat least −78 054 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2139297 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 103 799.07₸ · invest 81 866.07₸
profit on prices without salesat least −79 896 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build