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The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +10 211.05₴

Invest 8 443.80₴

Average return 18 654.84₴

ROI +120.9%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 21 256.38 ₴, profit at most −2 601.54 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 444 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

898.98 ₴

at 898.98

Steam

×1

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

526.70 ₴

at 526.70

Steam

×8

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

7 018.11 ₴

at 877.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 443.80 ₴ +10 211.05 (+120.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 838 ₴

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

2 696.95 ₴

at 898.98

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

6 140.84 ₴

at 877.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 837.79 ₴ +7 131.92 (+80.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 860 ₴

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

3 595.93 ₴

at 898.98

Steam

×6

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

5 263.58 ₴

at 877.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 859.51 ₴ +5 767.63 (+65.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 881 ₴

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

4 494.91 ₴

at 898.98

Steam

×5

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

4 386.32 ₴

at 877.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 881.23 ₴ +4 403.35 (+49.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 903 ₴

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

5 393.90 ₴

at 898.98

Steam

×4

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

3 509.05 ₴

at 877.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 902.95 ₴ +3 039.07 (+34.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 710.25 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

12 283.79 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

10 103.67 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

5 011.37 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6 844.74 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7 762.34 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Winter Offensive Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2138274 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 967.67₴ · invest 8 192.07₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 192 ₴ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162546 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2116717 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 856.21₴ · invest 8 154.32₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 154 ₴ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162859 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074472 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2129437 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 855.70₴ · invest 8 071.34₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 548 ₴ rare inputs

MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2122213 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 853.37₴ · invest 8 048.20₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 048 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2124636 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 848.27₴ · invest 7 963.03₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 494 ₴ rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2134996 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 807.97₴ · invest 8 804.11₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 190 ₴ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2131594 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 797.85₴ · invest 8 020.86₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 200 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2135951 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 680.87₴ · invest 7 913.09₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 573 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2137723 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 678.31₴ · invest 8 038.50₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 039 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166090 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075596 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2125534 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 676.08₴ · invest 7 831.44₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 322 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2128068 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 667.32₴ · invest 8 192.13₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 657 ₴ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2123345 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 645.88₴ · invest 7 906.42₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 352 ₴ rare inputs

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2138649 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 603.72₴ · invest 7 796.50₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 394 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162546 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2138820 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 595.73₴ · invest 8 224.47₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 402 ₴ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163765 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074787 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2127350 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 546.84₴ · invest 8 026.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 732 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2139297 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10 281.99₴ · invest 8 109.38₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 914 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build