Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection

Consumer Grade → Mil-Spec Grade About the craft Craft 2139427 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +257.69₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 356.39₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 614.08₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +72.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 25%
From the outcome +146.12 if you put everything into the next contract without selling
Selling intermediates +111.57 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 033.53₴ · profit at most −419.44₴ (−40.6%) · chance of profit at most 25%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits, or more than 10 pieces of one item are needed. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) × 10 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.90 34.26 → 99.35 ₴
Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) × 90 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.90 322.13 → 934.18 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one chain (estimate)

Price understated: Подходит только 6% лотов, а лоты с редким float стоят дороже; 100 pcs needed, and about 43 sell per day — buying will take 3 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×10
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0748
34.26 ₴
at 3.43
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074866f′ (normalized) 0.149732wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 325 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×90
Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0748
322.13 ₴
at 3.58
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074866f′ (normalized) 0.124777wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 348 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
100
buy
Consumer Grade
10
10 contracts
Industrial Grade
1
1 contract
Mil-Spec Grade

Craft on only from Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear), FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 35.15 ₴.

Set · 100 pcs 356.39 ₴ +257.69 (+72.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.127272627 outcomes come out up to 0.063636, 0.069999, 0.062363, 0.069999 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

Chain steps 4 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder: with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm
Factory New
float up to 0.063636
61.74 ₴ 25%
price without deals
Steam CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New)+18.54 each above the replacement
by lot · 1 sales per day
craft on
Dual Berettas | Drift Wood
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.076363
30.44 ₴ 25%
Steam Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear)fetches 26.47, no more than the replacement
craft on
FAMAS | CaliCamo
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.076363
36.80 ₴ 25%
Steam FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear)fetches 32.00, no more than the replacement
sell
P90 | Verdant Growth
Factory New
float up to 0.059818
70.43 ₴ 25%
Steam P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New)+26.09 each above the replacement
2

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 25%
  • Losing outcome 75%
at a loss
M249 | Humidor
Factory New
float up to 0.063636
189.68 ₴ 25.00%
Steam M249 | Humidor (Factory New)net 164.94 ₴ sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 205.05 ₴ (you get 178.31 ₴)) · buy orders: 4655 sell on Market.CSGO: 159.83 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 175.25 · lots 35 on CSFloat: from 154.64 ₴ listings: 32 on CS.Money: ~ 170.37 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 163.18 ₴ listings: 45
at a loss
MP9 | Music Box
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
352.43 ₴ 25.00%
Steam MP9 | Music Box (Factory New)net 306.46 ₴ sells 41 a week sell now to a buy order: 353.79 ₴ (you get 307.65 ₴)) · buy orders: 4947 sell on Market.CSGO: 265.63 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 291.26 · lots 51 on CSFloat: from 263.87 ₴ listings: 73 on CS.Money: ~ 281.85 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 275.56 ₴ listings: 64
at a loss
worst
SG 553 | Desert Blossom
Factory New
float up to 0.062363
178.91 ₴ 25.00%
Steam SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New)net 155.58 ₴ sells 31 a week sell now to a buy order: 184.49 ₴ (you get 160.43 ₴)) · buy orders: 4914 sell on Market.CSGO: 164.17 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 180.01 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 146.10 ₴ listings: 41 on CS.Money: ~ 165.87 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 168.12 ₴ listings: 47
in profit
best
USP-S | Purple DDPAT
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
1 590.52 ₴ 25.00%
Steam USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New)net 1 383.06 ₴ sells 42 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 461.82 ₴ (you get 1 271.14 ₴)) · buy orders: 7863 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 049.49 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 150.76 · lots 89 on CSFloat: from 984.46 ₴ listings: 204 on CS.Money: ~ 1 073.46 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 066.72 ₴ listings: 253

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity tiers: from which quality into which it works here. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Consumer → Mil-Spec
Variant 2 Consumer → Industrial Variant 3 Industrial → Mil-Spec Variant 4 Mil-Spec → Restricted Variant 5 Restricted → Classified
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites From inventory Proven in practice How crafts work