Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Classified About the craft Craft 2139544 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 439.53₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 5 522.90₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 6 962.43₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +26.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome −3 549.12 if you put everything into the next contract without selling
Selling intermediates +4 988.65 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 16 016.41₽ · profit at most −9 053.98₽ (−56.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits, or more than 10 pieces of one item are needed. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) × 90 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.90 4 917.60 → 14 261.04 ₽
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 10 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.90 605.30 → 1 755.37 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale. Without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: −3 549.12 ₽.

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

9% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one chain (estimate)

Price understated: Подходит только 9% лотов, а лоты с редким float стоят дороже; 100 pcs needed, and about 15 sell per day — buying will take 7 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×90
Nova | Ranger
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0768
4 917.60 ₽
at 54.64
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details9 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.076829f′ (normalized) 0.076829wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 110 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×10
UMP-45 | Riot
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0059
605.30 ₽
at 60.53
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details1 per contract, for each of the 10 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.005975f′ (normalized) 0.008536wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 158 · good ≈ 11
on the market with this float, usually ~14, new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 215.09 ₽ · little data, days: 0
100
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
10
10 contracts
Restricted
1
1 contract
Classified

Craft on only from Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 95.46 ₽.

Set · 100 pcs 5 522.90 ₽ +1 439.53 (+26.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.022399, 0.069999 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

Chain steps 3 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder: with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
FAMAS | Neural Net
Factory New
float up to 0.041999
522.14 ₽ 20%
Steam FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New)+358.57 each above the replacement
sell
P2000 | Handgun
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
1 582.12 ₽ 20%
Steam P2000 | Handgun (Factory New)+1 280.30 each above the replacement
sell
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo
Factory New
float up to 0.036399
770.51 ₽ 20%
Steam M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New)+574.55 each above the replacement
sell
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart
Factory New
float up to 0.034999
432.82 ₽ 20%
Steam MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New)+280.91 each above the replacement
craft on
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
float up to 0.175699
95.02 ₽ 20%
Steam Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested)fetches 82.63, no more than the replacement
2

Restricted → Classified

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
best
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
2 356.44 ₽ 33.33%
price without deals
Steam CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New)net 2 049.08 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 1 859.07 ₽ (you get 1 616.58 ₽)) · buy orders: 696 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 763.58 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 933.75 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 1 626.69 ₽ listings: 46 on CS.Money: ~ 1 665.75 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 709.90 ₽ listings: 25
at a loss
worst
MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
float up to 0.022399
2 185.59 ₽ 33.33%
Steam MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)net 1 900.51 ₽ sells 25 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 226.33 ₽ (you get 1 935.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 2267 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 814.70 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 989.81 · lots 39 on CSFloat: from 1 844.89 ₽ listings: 92 on CS.Money: ~ 1 850.83 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 866.96 ₽ listings: 84
at a loss
SG 553 | Cyrex
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
2 267.52 ₽ 33.33%
price without deals
Steam SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)net 1 971.76 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 265.93 ₽ (you get 1 970.37 ₽)) · buy orders: 970 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 760.15 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 929.99 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 1 764.23 ₽ listings: 66 on CS.Money: ~ 1 694.61 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 742.16 ₽ listings: 83

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity tiers: from which quality into which it works here. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Classified
Variant 2 Mil-Spec → Restricted Variant 3 Restricted → Classified Variant 4 Classified → Covert
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites From inventory Proven in practice How crafts work