StatTrak™
Mil-Spec Grade → Covert
About the craftCraft 2139627 · ways to build: 1StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+3 442.94₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase.18 425.00₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.21 867.94₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+18.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.50%
From the outcome−6 125.95if you put everything into the next contract without selling
Selling intermediates+9 568.89money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 53 432.50₽
· profit at most −31 564.56₽
(−59.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%
The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.
!
The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits, or more than 10 pieces of one item are needed. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear) × 5006% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.908 745.00 → 25 360.50 ₽
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) × 5006% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.909 680.00 → 28 072.00 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Check:
⋯ More
!
profit only from resale. Without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative:
−6 125.95 ₽.
What to buy
Ways to build
1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
6% of lots fit≈ market listings are not enough for even one chain (estimate)
Price understated: Подходит только 6% лотов, а лоты с редким float стоят дороже; 1000 pcs needed, and about 56 sell per day — buying will take 18 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.
×500
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0744
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
8 745.00 ₽
at 17.49
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details5 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074433f′ (normalized) 0.092877wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 395 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 83) · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
×500
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0744
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
9 680.00 ₽
at 19.36
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details5 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074433f′ (normalized) 0.082704wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 455 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 103 · from 125.64 ₽ (float 0.0726) · craft not before 18.10 · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
1000
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
100
100 contracts
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert
Craft on only from StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 142.06 ₽.
Craft on only from StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 1 521.17 ₽.
Set · 1000 pcs18 425.00 ₽
+3 442.94
(+18.7%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.087791147outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.087791«No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
Chain steps
2 outcomesHow the chain goesAll steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling.Finish in the chain builder: with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.
1
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted
100 contracts of 10 · 100 items drop
craft on
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.087791
141.79 ₽20%
SteamStatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)fetches 123.30, no more than the replacement
sell
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18
Factory New
float up to 0.058984
407.53 ₽20%
SteamStatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New)+212.31each above the replacement
sell
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.087791
172.00 ₽20%
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)+7.51each above the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.087791
157.60 ₽20%
SteamStatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)fetches 137.04, no more than the replacement
sell
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input
Factory New
float up to 0.054330
191.13 ₽20%
SteamStatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New)+24.14each above the replacement
2
Restricted → Classified
10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus
Factory New
float up to 0.061453
2 993.34 ₽33%
SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New)+1 081.73each above the replacement
sell
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus
Factory New
float up to 0.058820
2 123.30 ₽33%
SteamStatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New)+325.18each above the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.087791
1 476.54 ₽33%
SteamStatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear)fetches 1 283.95, no more than the replacement
3
Classified → Covert
1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
22 662.32 ₽50.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New)net 19 706.37 ₽sells 6 a weeksell now to a buy order: 23 140.39 ₽
(you get 20 122.07 ₽)) · buy orders: 2404
sell on Market.CSGO: 20 527.35 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 22 508.06 · lots 22
on CSFloat: from 18 066.93 ₽listings: 87
on CS.Money: ~ 19 578.80 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 19 923.45 ₽listings: 86
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.087791
5 625.50 ₽50.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear)net 4 891.74 ₽sells 25 a weeksell now to a buy order: 5 744.51 ₽
(you get 4 995.22 ₽)) · buy orders: 2261
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 590.57 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 5 033.53 · lots 25
on CSFloat: from 4 278.41 ₽listings: 79
on CS.Money: ~ 4 640.88 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 4 650.22 ₽listings: 80
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same collection at other rarity tiers: from which quality into which it works here. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+1 596.80 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+2 974.67 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.