The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −57 872.24₸

Invest 127 494.31₸

Average return 69 622.07₸

ROI −45.4%

Chance of profit 11%

With float: invest 128 180.79 ₸, profit −58 558.72 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −65 136.52 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9934

33 587.90 ₸

at 33 587.90

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3772

41 718.74 ₸

at 20 859.37

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4994

52 187.66 ₸

at 26 093.83

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 127 494.31 ₸ −57 872.24 (−45.4%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 11%
Losing outcome 82%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.234999

101 558.00 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.899999

72 613.86 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.899999

57 918.37 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.899999

90 867.69 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.725999

48 253.90 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.725999

39 140.72 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.725999

124 775.44 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.725999

50 794.82 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.725999

30 289.25 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.725999

55 876.62 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.725999

48 106.37 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

177 781.99 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071999

726 090.22 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.431999

248 640.50 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.899999

363 269.29 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764999

435 203.14 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.899999

308 590.30 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

304 763.27 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071999

154 297.98 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.431999

38 482.73 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.584999

43 028.58 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764999

59 999.88 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.899999

33 139.98 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

36 880.79 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071999

58 409.32 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.431999

29 687.01 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.899999

29 639.65 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764999

27 659.43 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.899999

22 099.98 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

22 769.89 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071999

131 612.01 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.431999

33 141.42 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.899999

42 276.57 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764999

40 971.28 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.899999

28 329.50 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

23 839.40 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071999

137 148.04 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.431999

36 441.90 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.584999

44 899.33 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764999

54 797.01 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.899999

33 500.78 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

29 969.34 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) × 1 99% of the wear range fits ×1.00 33 587.90 → 33 608.06 ₸

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 2 99% of the wear range fits ×1.01 41 718.74 → 42 014.95 ₸

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) × 2 99% of the wear range fits ×1.01 52 187.66 → 52 558.20 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.899999900

outcomes come out up to 0.071999, 0.234999, 0.899999, 0.899999, 0.899999, 0.725999, 0.725999, 0.725999, 0.725999, 0.725999, 0.725999, 0.725999, 0.000000, 0.071999, 0.431999, 0.899999, 0.764999, 0.899999, 0.449999, 0.071999, 0.431999, 0.584999, 0.764999, 0.899999, 0.449999, 0.071999, 0.431999, 0.899999, 0.764999, 0.899999, 0.449999, 0.071999, 0.431999, 0.899999, 0.764999, 0.899999, 0.449999, 0.071999, 0.431999, 0.584999, 0.764999, 0.899999, 0.449999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −66 678.92 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −60 907.27 ₸ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2143315 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −56 959.03₸ · invest 126 581.09₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143322 · The CS20 Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −56 959.03₸ · invest 126 581.09₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143316 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −56 989.68₸ · invest 126 581.09₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.377245; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499401
Craft 2143323 · The CS20 Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −56 989.68₸ · invest 126 581.09₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.377245; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499401
Craft 2143208 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −57 872.25₸ · invest 127 494.31₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2143202 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −57 902.90₸ · invest 127 494.31₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.993413; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.377245; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499401
Craft 2143209 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −57 902.90₸ · invest 127 494.31₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.377245; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499401; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.993413
Craft 2143246 · The Gallery Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −60 528.80₸ · invest 115 420.67₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.377245; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499401
Craft 2143250 · The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −60 528.80₸ · invest 115 420.67₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.377245; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499401
Craft 2143418 · The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −61 128.46₸ · invest 120 632.20₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.377245; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499401
Craft 2143424 · The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −61 128.46₸ · invest 120 632.20₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.377245; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499401

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build