The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −6 381.01₴

Invest 15 328.68₴

Average return 8 947.67₴

ROI −41.6%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest 15 522.88 ₴, profit −6 575.21 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −9 445.20 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Well-Worn

any lot

2 382.10 ₴

at 2 382.10

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Battle-Scarred

any lot

12 946.58 ₴

at 3 236.65

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 15 328.68 ₴ −6 381.01 (−41.6%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 13%
Losing outcome 81%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075250

71 924.08 ₴ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.451500

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940625

35 984.25 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799531

43 109.77 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940625

30 567.93 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.470312

27 153.47 ₴ 2.67%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075250

15 284.24 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.451500

3 811.97 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.611406

4 262.27 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799531

5 943.39 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940625

3 282.74 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.470312

3 653.29 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075250

5 785.83 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.451500

2 940.70 ₴ 2.67%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940625

2 936.01 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799531

2 739.85 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940625

2 189.15 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.470312

2 255.51 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075250

13 037.05 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.451500

3 282.88 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940625

4 187.78 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799531

4 058.48 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940625

2 806.23 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.470312

2 361.45 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075250

13 585.43 ₴ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.451500

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.611406

4 447.58 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799531

5 428.01 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940625

3 318.48 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.470312

2 968.66 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075250

12 578.34 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.245156

11 372.97 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940625

7 754.30 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940625

4 495.25 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940625

11 118.94 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756062

2 184.69 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756062

3 702.23 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756062

9 230.84 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756062

4 454.52 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756062

3 371.57 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756062

3 622.65 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756062

3 596.96 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 743.14 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Well-Worn) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 2 382.10 → 2 382.10 ₴

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) × 4 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 12 946.58 → 13 140.78 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.940625000

outcomes come out up to 0.075250, 0.451500, 0.940625, 0.799531, 0.940625, 0.470312, 0.075250, 0.451500, 0.611406, 0.799531, 0.940625, 0.470312, 0.075250, 0.451500, 0.940625, 0.799531, 0.940625, 0.470312, 0.075250, 0.451500, 0.940625, 0.799531, 0.940625, 0.470312, 0.075250, 0.451500, 0.611406, 0.799531, 0.940625, 0.470312, 0.075250, 0.245156, 0.940625, 0.940625, 0.940625, 0.756062, 0.756062, 0.756062, 0.756062, 0.756062, 0.756062, 0.756062, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Variant 2 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 3 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7 206.12 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −6 543.35 ₴ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Riptide Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2147044 · The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −6 335.59₴ · invest 17 076.48₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Well-Worn)
Craft 2147052 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit −6 335.59₴ · invest 17 076.48₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Well-Worn)
Craft 2146984 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −6 381.01₴ · invest 15 328.68₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2144924 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −6 507.02₴ · invest 16 273.69₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2144925 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −6 507.02₴ · invest 16 273.69₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2145820 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −6 586.88₴ · invest 15 077.71₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2145822 · The Gallery Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −6 586.88₴ · invest 15 077.71₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build