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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +325.26₽

Invest 526.16₽

Average return 851.42₽

ROI +61.8%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 1 265.45 ₽, profit at most −414.03 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

310.50 ₽

at 51.75

Steam

×3

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

202.65 ₽

at 67.55

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | Vendetta

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

13.01 ₽

at 13.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 526.16 ₽ +325.26 (+61.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

358.25 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

731.29 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

514.50 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 732.60 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Creep

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.101818

30.99 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073818

39.79 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Grip Tape

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095454

32.44 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Aeolian Light

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082727

32.27 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

Variant 2 The Ancient Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 3 The Bank Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 4 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Achroma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +168.88 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +238.53 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Achroma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2152112 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 328.56₽ · invest 524.34₽
SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New)
Craft 2149807 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 328.26₽ · invest 534.86₽
Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.074481; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.074481
Craft 2151584 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 327.97₽ · invest 526.14₽
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074449 instead of 0.074481; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074449 instead of 0.074481
Craft 2151889 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 325.77₽ · invest 528.04₽
XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New)
Craft 2151520 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 325.31₽ · invest 527.15₽
Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074523 instead of 0.074481; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074523 instead of 0.074481

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build