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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +172.14₴

Invest 279.46₴

Average return 451.60₴

ROI +61.6%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 697.88 ₴, profit at most −246.28 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

219.20 ₴

at 27.40

Steam

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

52.88 ₴

at 52.88

souvenirSteam

×1

AUG | Condemned

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

7.37 ₴

at 7.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 279.46 ₴ +172.14 (+61.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

189.68 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

387.20 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

272.41 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 446.84 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Teardown

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076363

13.34 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.050909

31.83 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Acid Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.003818

36.06 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Ancient Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Bank Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +89.17 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +126.16 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2151483 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 176.84₴ · invest 277.02₴
Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.077288; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New): float at most 0.003860 instead of 0.006377
Craft 2152289 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 175.78₴ · invest 277.78₴
SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.077288; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New): float at most 0.003860 instead of 0.006377
Craft 2152340 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection · profit 174.13₴ · invest 277.78₴
P250 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075323 instead of 0.077288; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New): float at most 0.004658 instead of 0.006377
Craft 2149159 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 174.08₴ · invest 279.46₴
MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.077288; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New): float at most 0.003860 instead of 0.006377
Craft 2151942 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 173.86₴ · invest 279.61₴
Dual Berettas | Stained (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.077288; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New): float at most 0.003860 instead of 0.006377
Craft 2151408 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 172.31₴ · invest 278.97₴
FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074523 instead of 0.077288; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New): float at most 0.003958 instead of 0.006377
Craft 2151752 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 170.29₴ · invest 281.11₴
Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2151975 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 169.90₴ · invest 280.75₴
XM1014 | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.077288; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New): float at most 0.003860 instead of 0.006377
Craft 2151868 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 166.47₴ · invest 292.33₴
rare inputs

MP7 | Astrolabe (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.077288; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New): float at most 0.003860 instead of 0.006377
Craft 2151468 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 160.08₴ · invest 302.27₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir MAC-10 | Echoing Sands (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.077288; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New): float at most 0.004074 instead of 0.006377

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build