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The Ancient Collection + The Cache Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +3.28$

Invest 19.38$

Average return 22.66$

ROI +16.9%

Chance of profit 47%

With float: invest at least 50.13 $, profit at most −27.47 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×9

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

17.61 $

at 1.96

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Chemical Green

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4768

1.77 $

at 1.77

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 19.38 $ +3.28 (+16.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×8

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

15.65 $

at 1.96

souvenirSteam

×1

PP-Bizon | Chemical Green

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3837

1.88 $

at 1.88

Steam

×1

Souvenir P250 | Contamination

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

2.20 $

at 2.20

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 19.73 $ +2.46 (+12.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

11.74 $

at 1.96

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir P250 | Contamination

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

2.20 $

at 2.20

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Chemical Green

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

7.05 $

at 2.35

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 20.98 $ +0.28 (+1.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 49%
About break-even 4%

in profit

best

AUG | Carved Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.019999

44.77 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.115999

12.87 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Dusk Ruins

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

39.18 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Factory New

float up to 0.064999

9.58 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Reactor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

18.73 $ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21.85 $ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Setting Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

21.58 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Toxic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29.57 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Bone Machine

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

14.34 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Cache Collection

Variant 2 The Anubis Collection instead of The Cache Collection Variant 3 only The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Cache Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Cache Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Cache Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.64 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.79 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Cache Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2155356 · The Ancient Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 3.33$ · invest 17.64$
sells slowly

MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Battle-Scarred); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.004945 instead of 0.004179
Craft 2155213 · The Ancient Collection + The Cache Collection · profit 3.03$ · invest 19.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Tec-9 | Toxic: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.004822 instead of 0.004179; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.480998 instead of 0.476865

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Cache Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build